Ethnic and Racial Rates of Arrest for Murder

According to a report by "Time", Africans in New York City erupted into an orgy of violence on a hot day in the summer of 1977. For the 40th anniversary of this event, we examine the ethnic and racial rates of arrest for murder.

According to data provided by the Pew Research Center, the population of the United States of America (USA) in 2013 has the following demographic distribution, in which Hispanics are grouped into a separate category.

	Total	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander	Other
Hispanic	53,964,235	35,582,596	1,125,442	466,674	185,724	45,042	16,558,757
non- Hispanic	262,164,604	197,391,758	38,851,242	2,081,234	15,825,473	467,668	7,547,229
Overall	316,128,839	232,974,354	39,976,684	2,547,908	16,011,197	512,710	24,105,986

Table 1

The category, "Other", is for either an unspecified race or a mixture of multiple races. For the Hispanic population, we distribute the count in this category to the other categories in proportion to their current counts. For the non-Hispanic population, we normalize the data in the same manner. The results appear in Table 2. (For all calculations, we used the maximum precision allowed by our computer although we show only the rounded results in the tables in this essay.)

	Total	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
Hispanic	53,964,235	51,334,395	1,623,656	673,262	267,941	64,981
non- Hispanic	262,164,604	203,242,737	40,002,849	2,142,925	16,294,563	481,530
Overall	316,128,839	254,577,131	41,626,505	2,816,187	16,562,504	546,512

Table 2

According to data provided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the following numbers of arrests for murder occurred in the USA in 2013.

Total	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
8,383	3,799	4,379	98	101	6

Table 3

In 4,850 incidents (out of the above 8,383 incidents), the agency that handled the arrest reported whether the suspect is Hispanic. This ethnic data for the 4,850 incidents appears in the row titled "Actual" in Table 4. In the row titled "Estimated", we estimated the number of Hispanics by assuming that the proportion of Hispanics in 8383 incidents is identical to the proportion in the 4850 incidents.

	Total	Hispanic	non-Hispanic
Actual	4,850	1,052	3,798
Estimated	8,383	1,818	6,565

Table 4

Next, (1) dividing the quantities in Table 3 by the corresponding quantities for the overall population in Table 2 and (2) multiplying the quotient by 100,000 yields the number of arrests per 100,000 people. The results appear in Table 5.

Overall	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
2.6518	1.4923	10.5197	3.4799	0.6098	1.0979

Table 5. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder

In order to determine the rate of arrest for Hispanics, we assume that the rate of arrest for each ethnicity or race in the Hispanic population is the product of a constant and the rate of arrest for the same ethnicity or race in the overall population.[1] Under this assumption, we determined the numbers of arrests in Table 6, where the data for Hispanics appears in its own category.

Total	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander	Hispanic
8,383	2,352	4,056	54	98	5	1818

Table 6

Using Table 2 and Table 6, we determined the rates of arrest in Table 7.

Overall	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander	Hispanic
2.6518	1.1572	10.1402	2.5080	0.6009	0.9662	3.3695

Table 7. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder
with Hispanics as a Separate Category

Grouping Hispanic Africans with other Africans, we derived Table 8 from Table 2, Table 3, and Table 6.

Overall	European (White)	African (Black)	American Indian or Alaskan Native	Asian	Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander	Hispanic
2.6518	1.1572	10.5197	2.5080	0.6009	0.9662	2.8576

Table 8. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder
with Hispanic Africans Grouped with Africans

The data in Table 7 and Table 8 confirms that differences in culture and genetics produce differences in behavior among ethnic and racial groups. This data is consistent with the fact that African nations and Hispanic nations (in Latin America) have much higher rates of violent crime than a typical European country like Germany (before it was inundated by anti-Western immigrants).

Evolution produced differences in culture and genetics among ethnic and racial groups. We should respect those differences and adjust our immigration policy accordingly.

note
1. An appropriate name for this constant is the coefficient of Hispanic aggression (CHA). For the data in this analysis, the value of CHA is 1.8889 . It is the multiplier by which being Hispanic amplifies the rate of arrest for murder. For example, within the European population, the rate for Hispanics is almost 2 times the rate for non-Hispanics.