Monday, January 01, 2018

Support for this Web Site

I write the commentary on this Web site in order to "tell it like it is". Each essay represents a substantial investment of my time and money.

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book (written by Carrie Fisher)
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Delusions Of Grandma
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Postcards from the Edge
Wishful Drinking
The Best Awful: A Novel
computer
Panasonic Toughbook CF-C2CSAZXCM 12.5-Inch Laptop (Black)
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New Balance Men's MW577 Walking Shoe
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Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Politicization of Science

According to a report by "The Economist", many scientists allege that President Donald Trump has politicized science. On February 19, hundreds of scientists assembled at Copley Square in Boston and vociferously accused him of hindering their work.

If these scientists look in a mirror, then they will see a hypocrite. Many scientists also politicize science.

Consider the case of Dr. James D. Watson, who won the Nobel Prize in medicine. In 2007, he asserted that Africans are less intelligent than Europeans due to genetic differences. Afterwards, he was forced to resign from Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, according to report 1 and report 2 by the "New York Times".

If scientists were not political, then they would have immediately conducted a study of the assertion that Watson made. The results of the study would speak for themselves.

Instead of taking a rational approach toward addressing a scientific topic (i.e., differences in intelligence due to differences in genetics), many scientists -- including the management of Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory -- immediately and emotionally condemned Watson. They humiliated a man whose medical achievements would significantly advance the treatment of diseases.

The hard truth which many scientists try to avoid or hide (via political tactics like feigned anger) is that differences in culture and genetics produce differences in behavior among ethnic and racial groups. According to one report by "The Economist", differences in genetics produce differences in intelligence. According to another report by the same journal, differences in culture produce differences in work ethic.

Of course, differences in culture and genetics have produced stark differences in national development. For example, Japan is a prosperous nation with a low rate of violent crime. By contrast, Guatemala (which is a typical Hispanic nation) is economically poor and has a high rate of violent crime.

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Impact of the Travel Ban on the United States

Recently, President Donald Trump signed several executive orders that restrict travel from some anti-Western nations like Iran. The writer of an essay published by "The Economist" alleges that this travel ban has reduced travel to the United States from countries that were not targeted by the ban. The writer does qualify his allegations and states, "It is hard to separate the ban completely from other factors currently affecting travel to America. The dollar has strengthened against currencies such as the euro and the yuan since the election, making it more expensive to visit the United States."

How can we be sure that the travel ban will only minimally and temporarily reduce travel to the United States?

First, the strengthening of the dollar is a vote of confidence in the executive orders signed by Trump. Foreigners buy dollars (thus boosting its value) because they believe that his political policies will improve the quality of life in our nation. An improved quality of life surely attracts more travel to the United States.

Second, from 1945 to the present day, the government of Japan has aggressively enforced strict immigration laws, including prompt deportation of illegal aliens. The Japanese laws are stricter than even the immigration policies proposed or implemented (via executive orders) by Trump.

Yet, millions of tourists still flock to Japan. They particularly enjoy the relatively crime-free environment there. If you lose your wallet, then some anonymous Japanese citizen will find it and give it to the police. A policeman will locate you and return the wallet to you. It will contain all the money that was originally in it.

If Trump succeeds at using his immigration policies to increase the percentage of pro-Western citizens to nearly 100% of the American population, then the United States will become the pleasant sort of place that exists in Japan and Germany (before it was inundated by anti-Western immigrants). The number of tourists to the United States will actually increase.

Trump's executive orders (which reduce the number of anti-Western immigrants) are the right start.

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Ethnic and Racial Rates of Arrest for Murder

According to a report by "Time", Africans in New York City erupted into an orgy of violence on a hot day in the summer of 1977. For the 40th anniversary of this event, we examine the ethnic and racial rates of arrest for murder.

According to data provided by the Pew Research Center, the population of the United States of America (USA) in 2013 has the following demographic distribution, in which Hispanics are grouped into a separate category.

Total European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
Other
Hispanic 53,964,235 35,582,596 1,125,442 466,674 185,724 45,042 16,558,757
non-
Hispanic
262,164,604 197,391,758 38,851,242 2,081,234 15,825,473 467,668 7,547,229
Overall 316,128,839 232,974,354 39,976,684 2,547,908 16,011,197 512,710 24,105,986

Table 1

The category, "Other", is for either an unspecified race or a mixture of multiple races. For the Hispanic population, we distribute the count in this category to the other categories in proportion to their current counts. For the non-Hispanic population, we normalize the data in the same manner. The results appear in Table 2. (For all calculations, we used the maximum precision allowed by our computer although we show only the rounded results in the tables in this essay.)

Total European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
Hispanic 53,964,235 51,334,395 1,623,656 673,262 267,941 64,981
non-
Hispanic
262,164,604 203,242,737 40,002,849 2,142,925 16,294,563 481,530
Overall 316,128,839 254,577,131 41,626,505 2,816,187 16,562,504 546,512

Table 2

According to data provided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the following numbers of arrests for murder occurred in the USA in 2013.

Total European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
8,383 3,799 4,379 98 101 6

Table 3

In 4,850 incidents (out of the above 8,383 incidents), the agency that handled the arrest reported whether the suspect is Hispanic. This ethnic data for the 4,850 incidents appears in the row titled "Actual" in Table 4. In the row titled "Estimated", we estimated the number of Hispanics by assuming that the proportion of Hispanics in 8383 incidents is identical to the proportion in the 4850 incidents.

Total Hispanic non-Hispanic
Actual 4,850 1,052 3,798
Estimated 8,383 1,818 6,565

Table 4

Next, (1) dividing the quantities in Table 3 by the corresponding quantities for the overall population in Table 2 and (2) multiplying the quotient by 100,000 yields the number of arrests per 100,000 people. The results appear in Table 5.

Overall European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
2.6518 1.4923 10.5197 3.4799 0.6098 1.0979

Table 5. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder

In order to determine the rate of arrest for Hispanics, we assume that the rate of arrest for each ethnicity or race in the Hispanic population is the product of a constant and the rate of arrest for the same ethnicity or race in the overall population.[1] Under this assumption, we determined the numbers of arrests in Table 6, where the data for Hispanics appears in its own category.

Total European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
Hispanic
8,383 2,352 4,056 54 98 5 1818

Table 6

Using Table 2 and Table 6, we determined the rates of arrest in Table 7.

Overall European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
Hispanic
2.6518 1.1572 10.1402 2.5080 0.6009 0.9662 3.3695

Table 7. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder
with Hispanics as a Separate Category

Grouping Hispanic Africans with other Africans, we derived Table 8 from Table 2, Table 3, and Table 6.

Overall European
(White)
African
(Black)
American
Indian or
Alaskan
Native
Asian Native
Hawaiian
or Other
Pacific
Islander
Hispanic
2.6518 1.1572 10.5197 2.5080 0.6009 0.9662 2.8576

Table 8. Number of Arrests (per 100,000 People) for Murder
with Hispanic Africans Grouped with Africans

The data in Table 7 and Table 8 confirms that differences in culture and genetics produces differences in behavior among ethnic and racial groups. This data is consistent with the fact that African nations and Hispanic nations (in Central and South America) have much higher rates of violent crime than a typical European country like Germany (before it was inundated by anti-Western immigrants).

Evolution produced differences in culture and genetics among ethnic and racial groups. We should respect those differences and adjust our immigration policy accordingly.

note
1. An appropriate name for this constant is the coefficient of Hispanic aggression (CHA). For the data in this analysis, the value of CHA is 1.8889 . It is the multiplier by which being Hispanic amplifies the rate of arrest for murder. For example, within the European population, the rate for Hispanics is almost 2 times the rate for non-Hispanics.

Monday, January 23, 2017

Effect of Immigration on a Developing Country

The writer of an essay published by "The Economist" implicitly assumes that differences in culture and genetics do not produce differences in behavior among different ethnic or racial groups. Consequently, immigration does not negatively affect the pace of development for developing countries.

Yet, is that assumption true?

The Meiji Restoration (MR) in Japan proves that the assumption is false. MR began in 1868. During 25 years from that year, the Japanese aggressively modernized and became a wealthy, industrialized democracy. Japan became a Western power.

By contrast, the nations run by Africans or Hispanics are still poor and ignorant. This retarded development is not due to external oppression since most such nations are not controlled by an external power like Russia.

If all ethnic and racial groups have identical behaviors, then every nation would already be modernized (just like Japan) after 25 years of exposure to the West. That such an outcome does not exist proves that differences in culture and genetics produce differences in behavior among different ethnic or racial groups.

As for immigration, imagine the fate of Japan if, in 1868, somehow millions of Africans emigrate to Japan and become 30% of its population. Violence in its cities would increase dramatically. Under pressure from rioting Africans who despise the West, the Japanese government would be forced to abandon Westernization. The modernization of Japan would not have occurred, and it would remain an impoverished 3rd-world country. Today, 12 million Japanese would be living illegally in Russia and would be demanding that the Kremlin grant them a path to citizenship.

So, indeed, uncontrolled immigration into a developing country can severely retard its development -- if the immigrants are intellectually inferior to the native population.

Friday, December 30, 2016

Memorial Service

Ricky LaChance drew the above picture. Todd Fisher, the brother of Carrie Fisher, shared the image with the public. In the picture, the spirit of Carrie Fisher is dressed as Princess Leia in "Star Wars" of 1977, and the spirit of Debbie Reynolds (in a yellow raincoat) is dressed as Kathy Selden in "Singin’ in the Rain" of 1952. The lyrics, "What a glorious feeling. I’m happy again.", are from a song in the latter movie, according to a report by "People". The two women are walking toward heaven.

According to a report by "People", their family had been considering both a private memorial service and a public one. According to another report, Carrie Fisher and Debbie Reynolds would be interred together at Forest Lawn Memorial Park in Los Angeles.

According to a report by "People", the family of Carrie Fisher held a private memorial service at her home on January 5. The event was attended by her relatives and friends. The guests dined on fried chicken, collard greens, and cornbread. These dishes were standard fare at parties hosted by Fisher.

According to a report by "People", Reynolds and Fisher were laid to rest on January 6. Fisher had been cremated, and some of her ashes were stored in an urn (shaped like a large Prozac pill) that was placed alongside her mother.

Wednesday, December 28, 2016

Goodbye

According to a report by the "New York Times" (NYT), a report by TMZ, and a report (which is partially based on a report by TMZ) by "USA Today", Carrie Fisher suffered a heart attack during the remaining 15 minutes of a flight on a United Airlines jet from London to Los Angeles on December 23. Upon arrival at the destination, she was transported to the emergency room of a hospital within the UCLA Medical Center. Later, she was transferred to the intensive care unit (ICU). She died in the ICU at 8:55 a.m on December 27 (Tuesday).

Most Westerners remember Fisher for her role as Princess Leia in Star Wars. In addition to being an actress, she was also an accomplished writer. The author of an essay published by the NYT suggests that you remember Fisher by reading her many books.

During the final 2 decades of her life, she had established a close relationship with her mother, Debbie Reynolds. According to a report by "People", Reynolds on December 28 told her son that she deeply missed his sister and wanted to be with her in death. Several hours later, Reynolds suffered a stroke and also died, according to a report by the NYT and a report by TMZ.

Reynolds was a classy lady and represented an American era that is fading away. (The new American era is represented by people like Ariana Grande. According to a report by CNN, she relished using her saliva to contaminate some doughnuts that were later purchased by unwitting customers.)

We at theclearsky.blogspot.com regret the passing of both Fisher and Reynolds. We hope to "meet" them soon.

Sunday, December 04, 2016

The Real Reason for the H-1B Visa

The author of a report in "The Economist" criticizes the plan by Donald Trump to suspend the program that issues H-1B visas to foreigners. Are H-1B visas really necessary?

The H-1B visa is not necessary. There is not a need for importing foreign labor into the United States to maintain its high technology. Indeed, Japanese technology is as sophisticated as American technology, yet Tokyo prohibits the massive importation of foreign labor.

The typical false narrative about the H-1B visa is the following horse manure. There is supposedly an awesome XYZ technology that needs to be commercialized. There are supposedly an insufficient number of American engineers to hire to develop the product based on this technology. Without its commercialization, the American economy will be damaged permanently.

Technologies come and go. That XYZ technology is not commercialized in the USA will not permanently damage the American economy. If such technology were commercialized in China, then QRS technology will come along to utilize the talents of American engineers. (In the 1990s, the hot technology was microprocessors and their interconnects. In the 2010s, the hot technology is search and artificial intelligence.)

There are plenty of American engineers. According to a report in a prominent engineering journal, 75% of Americans with college degrees in science, technology, engineering, or math (STEM) have jobs that are outside STEM. The reason that a typical company may not hire technically capable Americans is that it does not want to train them in the QRS technology. To avoid the cost of training an American, the company hires the foreign engineer who already knows QRS technology. Yet, even for the sake of cost, there is not a need to import foreign engineers. The company and its entire management can simply relocate to the country -- e.g., India -- which has the cheap engineers with the right skill set, including knowledge of QRS technology.

When you understand the above facts, you soon realize the real reason for the H-1B visas. Some wealthy elites like starting or running companies, ignore the well-being of Americans (like American engineers), but insist on living in the USA (instead of moving themselves and their companies to a barn like India). So, these elites then clamor for H-1B visas to bring the cheap foreign engineers to the USA in order to populate the elites' companies.

Such elites deserve to be pummeled by the fist of Donald Trump.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Make America Great Again!

The Democratic elites, the Republican elites, the news media, Wall Street, and Silicon Valley (with its horde of South Asian supremacists) joined forces to defeat Donald John Trump, but he prevailed on November 8 to become the 45th president of the United States. According to a report by "The Economist" and a report by "The Washington Post", European-American voters in the working class gave him the necessary victories in the rust belt: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

European-Americans in the working class have been abandoned by the elites in Washington. For example, according to a report by "Salon", "a 2012 study concluded that between 1990 and 2008, white women who had attained only a high school education saw their lifespans shrink by five years." Free trade robbed these women of jobs with decent pay. Meanwhile, Washington diverted its resources toward helping Africans and Hispanics due to the power of the Democratic Party. Forgotten by the Republican and Democratic elites, these women drowned in drugs, alcohol, and their own despair.

The working class needs Trump to help them, and according to a report by NPR, expects that Trump will implement his populist agenda.

After Trump takes the Oath of Office, he must immediately replace the Affordable Care Act (ACA) with single-payer national health care (SPNHC). For many years before he entered the presidential race, he supported SPNHC. Senator Mitch McConnell specifically mentioned Trump's support of SPNHC when McConnell tried to prevent Trump from becoming the Republican nominee.

With the money that we save from forcing our military allies to pay their fair share of military defense, we can afford SPNHC, but the Republican elites in Congress may try to force Trump to replace ACA with nothing. We should ally with the supporters of Bernie Sanders, and together, we should organize protests in support of SPNHC.

According to report after report by "The Economist", the elites expect Trump to fail and to betray his supporters. He should prove them wrong just as he proved them wrong when they expected him to lose the election.

Friday, October 14, 2016

Justifying a Vote for Donald Trump

According to a report by NBC News, Donald Trump supports the national objectives (e.g., terminating detrimental agreements on trade) that most Americans want.

At the same time, he has serious flaws in his personality. One flaw is an utter lack of humility, which Senator Susan Collins of Maine noted in her op-ed. These flaws cause many Americans to hesitate at supporting Trump for president.

In other words, Trump has the right message but is the wrong messenger. So, how should Americans vote in November?

Hillary Clinton has character flaws that are as severe as the character flaws of Donald Trump. (Her callous indifference to "unimportant people" like Christoper Stevens, the late ambassador to Libya, resulted in his death.) So, what distinguishes the 2 presidential candidates is their national objectives for the United States of America. The American voter should choose a candidate on the basis of his national objectives.

In an op-ed, David Gelernter agrees. He wrote, "There is only one way to take part in protecting this nation from Hillary Clinton, and that is to vote for Donald Trump. [...] It’s too bad one has to vote for Mr. Trump. It will be an unhappy moment at best. Some people will feel dirty, or pained, or outright disgraced. But when all is said and done, it’s no big deal of a sacrifice for your country. I can think of bigger ones."